🦋 Your Recurring Problems Aren't Random. Here's Why!

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Have you ever felt like you're stuck in a loop? You resolve a conflict within your team, feeling positive about the outcome, but interpersonal friction resurfaces in a different form. You conquer a challenging project at work, celebrating the achievement, but the feeling of burnout soon returns. Or maybe it's that cycle of setting ambitious goals, only to find yourself facing the same old procrastination patterns.

We spend our days diligently addressing these "problems," armed with self-help books and cutting-edge apps. We mediate disputes, implement a new routine, push through another demanding deadline. But this is like playing whack-a-mole. We’re so busy reacting to what’s in front of us that we never stop to ask: Why does this keep happening?

If this feeling is familiar, you're not alone. Our default way of thinking is linear: cause A leads to effect B. But the world is rarely that simple. Most of our persistent challenges, from personal habits to global crises, aren't isolated events. They are outcomes of a complex, interconnected web of causes and effects—a system.

Over the next few issues, we're going to explore a powerful way of seeing this web: Systems Thinking. It's less of a method and more of a mindset—a shift from seeing parts to seeing the whole, from reacting to creating.

💪 Why is it Important?

If you learn to see beyond what's immediately in front of you, beyond the obvious, you'll better understand problems, make more effective interventions, and become a more effective problem-solver & leader. Also, research shows that the ability to map out systems and understand relationships between elements (such as people relationships, power dynamics, and team interactions) is a form of power!

🧊 The Iceberg Model

To understand Systems Thinking, let's use the Iceberg Model.

When we see an iceberg, we're only looking at the tip—about 10% of its total mass. The other 90%, the part that can sink a ship, is hidden beneath the water.

Our problems are just like that. We see the obvious "event" at the top, but the real causes are hidden deep below the surface. Systems Thinking is the practice of looking beneath the water.

The Iceberg Model gives us four levels to explore any problem. Let's use a common business story to see how it works: A key employee, Sarah, just resigned.

⚡ Level 1: The Event (What just happened?)

This is the tip of the iceberg—the visible, immediate issue. It's what we react to.

The Story: Sarah, a star performer on the marketing team, walks into her manager's office and resigns. It's a shock. The immediate problem is clear: a critical role is now empty, projects are at risk, and team morale might dip.

Our Typical Reaction: The manager alerts HR, they craft a job description, and the search for Sarah's replacement begins. It's a classic case of firefighting. We've patched the hole. Problem solved, right? No!

📊 Level 2: Patterns (What's been happening over time?)

If we look just below the surface, we can start to see trends. We move from asking "What just happened?" to "What's been happening?"

The Story: A look at the company's records reveals something interesting. Sarah isn't the first. Over the past two years, four other high-performers have left the marketing team. Employee turnover in this department is 40%, while the rest of the company is at 10%. A pattern is emerging.

A Better Reaction: Seeing this pattern allows us to anticipate. We're no longer just surprised by each resignation. We could improve onboarding to speed up new hires' progress. This is an improvement, but we still haven't fixed the root cause. We're good at mopping the floor, but the leaky pipe remains unfixed.

🏗️ Level 3: Structures (What is causing the pattern?)

Structures are the "rules of the game." They can be physical (office layout), organizational (hierarchies, incentive plans), or social (unwritten rules).

The Story: Why are so many good people leaving the marketing team? After some investigation, we discover several contributing structures:

• The department's budget for training and professional development was cut last year.

• A new "top-down" management style was introduced, limiting employee autonomy.

• Projects are consistently understaffed, leading to burnout.

A Creative Reaction: We can start to design better systems. We could restructure the department to give teams more autonomy, lobby for a budget increase for training, or implement a workload management system to prevent burnout. By changing the structures, we can change the pattern of high turnover.

🧠 Level 4: Mental Models (What beliefs and assumptions created the system?)

This is the deepest and most powerful level. Mental models are the beliefs, values, and assumptions that we hold—often unconsciously—that allow the structures to exist in the first place.

The Story: Why were these structures created? What beliefs are holding them in place? We might uncover some deep-seated mental models:

• Leadership believes that "employees are a cost to be minimized," leading to low training budgets.

• There's a core assumption that "if we hire smart people, they don't need much support," leading to burnout and a lack of growth opportunities.

• The manager might believe that "control is the only way to ensure quality," leading to top-down management style.

A Transformative Reaction: Changing mental models is tough but highly rewarding. This is where we transform the system: What if we saw employees as an investment to be nurtured? What if we believed that trust & autonomy lead to better results than control? Shifting these beliefs could lead to an entirely new set of structures!

👷 From Firefighter to Architect

As you can see, the Iceberg Model takes us on a journey.

• At the Event level, we react.

• At the Pattern level, we anticipate.

• At the Structure level, we design.

• At the Mental Model level, we transform.

Systems Thinking is the discipline of moving our focus from the top of the iceberg to the bottom. It's a commitment to stop being a firefighter, perpetually reacting to the latest crisis, and start being an architect, capable of designing resilient systems that produce the outcomes we want.

🚀 Your Turn

Identify one challenge you are facing now. Something important. Personal or work-related. Run it through the Iceberg model. What is the "event" that you keep seeing? For the next few days, just observe. What patterns might be hiding just below the surface?

Imagine the freedom that comes from understanding why recurring problems persist, rather than just endlessly battling them. Systems Thinking isn't just for organizations; it's a powerful tool for personal mastery. It empowers you to break free from old patterns and design a life and career that truly aligns with your deepest aspirations. The power to change is in seeing the whole.

In the next issue, we will teach you new ways to map out the system to see more ✊

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